---
title: Two-Tier Opportunity Scoring System
type: article
created: '2026-04-05'
updated: '2026-04-05'
source_docs:
- raw/2026-02-06-salesforce-call-120419343.md
tags:
- salesforce
- pardot
- lead-scoring
- opportunity-scoring
- sales-workflow
- crm
layer: 2
client_source: null
industry_context: null
transferable: true
---

# Two-Tier Opportunity Scoring System

## Overview

A two-tier scoring model separates the question of *how engaged is this lead?* (marketing signal) from *how good is this project fit?* (sales judgment). The two tiers operate at different stages of the pipeline and use different inputs, but together they give sales leadership a consistent, reportable basis for prioritizing effort and capacity.

This pattern emerged from work with [[clients/quarra-stone/index|Quarra Stone]], where the need to scale from an $8–12M to a $20–30M company required moving from intuition-based deal selection to a structured, defensible scoring process.

---

## Tier 1 — Lead Scoring (Pardot, Automated)

**Stage:** Lead object, pre-conversion  
**Owner:** Marketing / automated  
**Purpose:** Measure marketing engagement and intent signals

Lead scoring at this tier is fully automated and driven by behavioral data captured in Pardot. It answers: *Is this person paying attention to us?*

### Typical Scoring Inputs

| Signal | Example |
|---|---|
| Website activity | Page visits, time on site, return visits |
| Email engagement | Opens, clicks, replies |
| Form fills | Content downloads, contact requests |
| Campaign response | Ad clicks, event registrations |

### Key Characteristics

- **No manual input required.** Scores update automatically as engagement occurs.
- **Relative, not absolute.** A high Pardot score means high engagement relative to other leads — it does not indicate project fit.
- **Feeds prioritization, not qualification.** A high score surfaces a lead for faster human review; it does not auto-convert or auto-assign.

> *"The lead scoring is more of — is this somebody who knows about us, is interested about us — it's more of a sales and marketing scoring than the specific project scoring."*  
> — Karly Oykhman, Quarra Stone working session

---

## Tier 2 — Opportunity Scoring (Salesforce, Manual)

**Stage:** Opportunity object, post-conversion  
**Owner:** Sales rep / sales leadership  
**Purpose:** Evaluate project and client fit against strategic criteria

Once a lead converts to an opportunity, a manual scoring process evaluates whether the *project itself* is worth pursuing. This tier answers: *Should we invest production capacity in this deal?*

### Typical Scoring Dimensions

Scoring criteria should be defined in a client-specific matrix. For Quarra Stone, the existing qualifier matrix (developed with executive coach Dennis) covers dimensions including:

| Dimension | Notes |
|---|---|
| Project timeline / urgency | 6–24 month BD cycle is typical; short timelines may indicate poor fit |
| Project complexity | Alignment with production capabilities |
| Client type | Decision-maker vs. influencer; COG vs. specifier |
| Location | Proximity to sales territory; travel feasibility |
| Revenue tier | Does the project size justify capacity allocation? |

### Key Characteristics

- **Manual entry by the assigned rep** at or shortly after opportunity creation.
- **Structured as a weighted matrix**, not free-text, to enable reporting and comparison across the pipeline.
- **Informs capacity planning.** A scored pipeline allows production leadership to evaluate whether the mix of in-flight opportunities is appropriate before committing to new work.

> *"If you sell the wrong jobs and you absorb your machine capacity… you can't get to where you need to in a year because you've absorbed your capacity on too many opportunities that are the wrong kind of value tier."*  
> — Lincoln Durham (lldurham), Quarra Stone

---

## How the Tiers Interact

```
Lead enters system
       │
       ▼
[Tier 1: Pardot Lead Score]
  Automated engagement scoring
  High score → surfaces for faster review
       │
       ▼
Manual assignment by sales leadership
  (lldurham reviews and assigns based on rep fit + bandwidth)
       │
       ▼
Lead converts → Opportunity created
       │
       ▼
[Tier 2: Salesforce Opportunity Score]
  Manual project-fit scoring via matrix
  Score informs pursuit decision + capacity planning
```

The two tiers are intentionally decoupled. A lead can have a high Pardot score (very engaged) but score poorly on project fit (wrong timeline, wrong complexity). Keeping the scores separate prevents marketing enthusiasm from overriding strategic deal selection.

---

## Implementation Notes

### Pardot Lead Scoring
- Configure scoring rules in Pardot for each engagement type (page visit, email open, form fill, etc.)
- Sync lead score field to the Salesforce Lead object for visibility
- Pardot score should be visible on the lead record without requiring reps to log into Pardot

### Salesforce Opportunity Scoring
- Build the scoring matrix as a set of structured fields on the Opportunity object (picklists or numeric fields, not free-text)
- Consider a roll-up formula field that calculates a composite score from the individual dimensions
- The existing qualifier matrix (developed with Dennis) is the source of truth for scoring criteria — import those dimensions directly rather than rebuilding from scratch

### Reporting
- Tier 1 enables marketing attribution reporting: which channels produce the most engaged leads?
- Tier 2 enables pipeline quality reporting: what is the average fit score of opportunities by stage, rep, or source?
- Both tiers require consistent data entry — this is why the [[wiki/knowledge/salesforce/task-subject-dropdown|task subject dropdown]] and required fields matter upstream

---

## Related

- [[clients/quarra-stone/index|Quarra Stone — Client Index]]
- [[clients/quarra-stone/2026-02-06-lead-to-opportunity-workflow|Salesforce Call — Lead-to-Opportunity Workflow (2026-02-06)]]
- [[wiki/knowledge/salesforce/lead-assignment-notification-pattern|Lead Assignment via Notification (Manual Assignment Pattern)]]
- [[wiki/knowledge/salesforce/automated-sales-playbook|Automated Sales Playbook — Task Sequence on Lead Assignment]]